In "Judgment Under Uncertainty," renowned psychologists Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky delve into the intricate ways humans make decisions amid uncertainty. Through groundbreaking research, they unveil the cognitive biases and heuristics that often lead to flawed judgments. This book not only illuminates the limitations of human reasoning but also explores the implications for economics, policy-making, and personal choices. Prepare to challenge your perceptions and discover the unseen forces shaping your decisions. Can you trust your instincts when the stakes are high?
By Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, Amos Tversky
Published: 1982
""We often make decisions based on intuition and biases, leading us to underestimate uncertainty and overestimate our understanding of the world.""
Thirty-five chapters describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments, but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas rather than describing single experimental studies.
Showing 8 of 29 similar books
Kevin Rose is a notable entrepreneur and technology investor, best known for founding Digg, a pioneering social news website that significantly influenced online content sharing. Although not primarily recognized for literary contributions, Rose has impacted digital media and online culture, which are recurring themes in contemporary literature on technology. His insights and experiences have been featured in various tech journals and books, enriching discussions on innovation and digital entrepreneurship. Rose also co-hosted the popular podcast "The Random Show" with Tim Ferriss, where he shares his thoughts on technology, health, and productivity. Through his ventures and public speaking, Rose continues to inspire narratives around the digital revolution and startup culture.
James Clear is the author of the bestselling book Atomic Habits, which focuses on the power of small habits and incremental improvements to achieve significant personal and professional growth. Clear’s writing blends insights from psychology, neuroscience, and productivity to provide practical strategies for building better habits. His work has helped millions of people create positive changes in their lives by focusing on the process rather than the outcome. James’s clear, actionable advice has made him a sought-after speaker and thought leader in the field of personal development.
Frank Chimero is a renowned designer, illustrator, and author best known for his influential book "The Shape of Design," which explores the philosophy and practice of design. His work emphasizes the intersection of creativity and human experience, earning him a respected place in both the design and literary communities. Chimero has contributed essays and lectures that have inspired a new generation of thinkers in the creative industries. He has also been recognized for his ability to distill complex ideas into accessible, thought-provoking content. Beyond his writing, Chimero's design projects and illustrations have been featured in numerous prestigious publications and exhibitions.
Jan Losert is a visionary author and digital design expert, renowned for his contributions to the intersection of technology and creativity. His most significant work includes co-authoring "Design Systems Handbook," which has become a seminal guide for creating cohesive and efficient design frameworks. Losert's expertise extends to his role as a speaker and educator, where he passionately shares his insights on user experience and interface design. In addition to his literary achievements, he co-founded several successful startups, leveraging his deep understanding of design to drive innovation. His work continues to influence and inspire both emerging and established designers worldwide.
David Kadavy is an author, podcast host, and creativity expert, best known for his books The Heart to Start and Design for Hackers, where he explores the intersection of creativity, productivity, and design. Kadavy's work focuses on helping creators overcome procrastination, build meaningful habits, and find motivation to pursue their creative projects. He is also the host of the Love Your Work podcast, where he interviews high-performing individuals across various fields about their creative processes and productivity techniques. Kadavy’s insights stem from his own experiences as a designer and entrepreneur, offering practical advice on how to break through mental blocks and create with intention. His work emphasizes the importance of self-discipline, creativity, and a minimalist approach to both design and life. Kadavy’s books and podcast have garnered a global audience, positioning him as a thought leader in the realms of personal development and creative success.
David Sinclair is an Australian biologist and professor at Harvard Medical School, known for his pioneering research in the field of aging and longevity. Sinclair's work focuses on understanding the biological mechanisms that drive aging and developing interventions to slow or reverse the process. His bestselling book Lifespan: Why We Age – and Why We Don’t Have To explores the latest advancements in anti-aging science and offers insights into how humans might extend their healthspan. Sinclair's research has led to breakthroughs in areas such as sirtuins, NAD+ metabolism, and cellular reprogramming. He is also the co-founder of several biotech companies, including Sirtris Pharmaceuticals and Life Biosciences, dedicated to translating aging research into practical treatments. Sinclair is a vocal advocate for taking a proactive approach to aging, promoting lifestyle changes and emerging therapies to delay age-related diseases. His work has made him a leading figure in the longevity movement, influencing both scientific and public discourse on the future of health.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a Lebanese-American author, scholar, and risk analyst, best known for his work on uncertainty, probability, and risk. His books, including The Black Swan and Antifragile, explore how rare and unpredictable events shape the world and how individuals and systems can become more resilient to shocks. Taleb’s insights on risk management have influenced fields ranging from finance to medicine, and he is known for his outspoken criticism of conventional wisdom. His ideas about randomness, decision-making, and the limitations of human knowledge have made him a leading thinker in modern economics and philosophy.
Keith Rabois is a prominent American entrepreneur, investor, and author known for his significant contributions to the tech industry and startup ecosystem. He played crucial roles in the early success of companies like PayPal, LinkedIn, Square, and Yelp, earning a reputation as a skilled operator and strategic thinker. As a partner at Founders Fund and later at Khosla Ventures, Rabois has invested in and advised numerous successful startups. In addition to his business ventures, he has written insightful articles and essays on technology, entrepreneurship, and innovation, contributing to the broader discourse on these subjects. Rabois continues to influence the tech world with his strategic insights and thought leadership.
Showing 8 of 17 related collections
“"We often make decisions based on intuition and biases, leading us to underestimate uncertainty and overestimate our understanding of the world."”
Judgment Under Uncertainty
By Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, Amos Tversky
Discover a world of knowledge through our extensive collection of book summaries.
Daniel Kahneman is a renowned psychologist and Nobel laureate best known for his groundbreaking work in behavioral economics and cognitive psychology. Born on March 5, 1934, in Tel Aviv, he significantly influenced our understanding of decision-making, judgment, and the biases that affect human thought processes. His bestselling book, "Thinking, Fast and Slow," explores the dual systems of thought and has had a profound impact on a wide range of fields, from economics to public policy. Kahneman's research has earned him numerous accolades and recognition, solidifying his position as a leading figure in the study of human behavior. Through his work, he has inspired both scholars and practitioners to reevaluate how we understand rationality and decision-making in everyday life.
Paul Slovic is a prominent psychologist and author, known for his extensive work in the fields of decision-making, risk perception, and psychology. He is a professor of psychology at the University of Oregon and has published numerous influential papers and books, including 'The Perception of Risk' and 'Numbers and Nerves: Information, Emotion, and Meaning in a World of Data.' Slovic's writing is characterized by its analytical depth and accessibility, blending empirical research with philosophical insights. His contributions have significantly shaped the understanding of how people interact with risk and uncertainty.
Amos Tversky (1937-1996) was an influential cognitive psychologist and a pioneer in the field of behavioral economics. Known for his groundbreaking work on decision-making under uncertainty and the psychology of judgment, Tversky's research challenged traditional economic theory through his examination of cognitive biases and heuristics. Some of his most notable works include the development of Prospect Theory, co-authored with Daniel Kahneman, which describes how people make decisions involving risk. Tversky's writing is characterized by its clarity and rigor, aiming to make complex psychological concepts accessible. He received numerous accolades for his contributions to psychology, leaving a lasting legacy in both academic and practical arenas.
Key information about the book.
Support local bookstores: BookShop gives a portion of each sale to independent bookshops!
In "Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics," Nobel laureate Richard Thaler takes readers on a riveting journey through the evolution of behavioral economics, a field that challenges traditional economic theories. Thaler candidly shares his experiences and groundbreaking experiments that reveal how human behavior often defies rational expectations, leading to surprising choices in everyday life. With a blend of humor and keen insight, he highlights the quirks and biases that influence decision-making, reshaping our understanding of markets and policies. This enlightening narrative not only unveils the complexities of human behavior but also emphasizes the importance of incorporating psychology into economic thinking. Dive into a world where misbehavior leads to profound revelations about the way we live, work, and decide!
In "Nudge," behavioral economists Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein unveil the subtle art of influencing choices and shaping outcomes without restricting freedom. They explore how small, seemingly insignificant changes in the way options are presented can lead to drastically improved decisions in health, finance, and overall happiness. With compelling real-world examples and engaging insights, the authors demonstrate how understanding human psychology can empower individuals and policymakers alike. Dive into a world where choice architecture transforms lives and reshapes society's approach to welfare. Discover the hidden nudges that could change everything about the way we choose!
In 'I Will Teach You to Be Rich, Second Edition,' Ramit Sethi provides a no-nonsense guide to mastering personal finance with a blend of humor and practicality. He challenges conventional money advice and introduces readers to a unique banking system for maximizing their savings. Through straightforward strategies, Sethi reveals how to automate finances and invest wisely for the long term. Each chapter brims with actionable tips that encourage readers to take control of their financial futures. With insights that delve deep into psychology and behavior, this book is a game-changer for anyone seeking to build real wealth.
In 'The Undoing Project', Michael Lewis explores the groundbreaking collaboration between two Israeli psychologists, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, whose revolutionary theories on decision-making changed our understanding of human rationality. Their research reveals the cognitive biases that influence our choices, often leading us astray in unexpected ways. Through compelling anecdotes and vivid storytelling, Lewis uncovers how their work not only transformed psychology but also impacted economics, medicine, and public policy. As their friendship deepens amid professional triumphs and personal struggles, the book delves into the complexities of the human mind and the power of perspective. Will their insights lead to a newfound awareness of our own thought processes? Discover the fascinating tale behind the science of thinking.
In '12 Rules for Life', psychologist Jordan B. Peterson distills life lessons from psychology, philosophy, and mythology into twelve profound principles for personal growth. Each rule invites readers to confront the chaos of existence and embrace responsibility, guiding them toward meaning and order. Peterson's compelling narratives and incisive insights challenge conventional wisdom, urging self-reflection and accountability. As readers navigate through the complexities of life, they discover how to build a stable foundation for themselves and their communities. This thought-provoking book promises to provoke deep contemplation and inspire transformative change.
In 'Mistakes Were Made (but Not by Me)', Carol Tavris and Elliot Aronson explore the psychological mechanisms of self-justification and the often-unconscious ways we avoid admitting our wrongs. With compelling examples from history, psychology, and personal anecdotes, the authors reveal why people, from individuals to large organizations, refuse to accept accountability. This thought-provoking book challenges readers to confront their own biases and the cognitive dissonance that influences decision-making. Will you choose to embrace the discomfort of acknowledging your mistakes? Dive into this enlightening read and discover the profound impact of accountability on personal growth and relationships.
In 'Confidence Game', Christine S. Richard explores the intricate world of con artists and the psychology behind their manipulative tactics. Through gripping narratives and real-life examples, she unveils how trust can be both a weapon and a tool for deception. The book dives deep into the profiles of scammers and the unsuspecting victims who fall prey to their schemes. As Richard distinguishes between genuine confidence and deceitful charm, readers are left questioning their own perceptions of trust. This thrilling exploration of manipulation will make you rethink the nature of confidence itself.
'The Intel Trinity' by Michael S. Malone unveils the captivating story of the three visionaries behind Intel's rise to technology dominance: Robert Noyce, Gordon Moore, and Andy Grove. Through a blend of personal anecdotes and business strategy, the book captures the relentless pursuit of innovation that transformed computing. Readers will discover how their intertwined lives forged not just a company, but an entire industry. As the narrative unfolds, it reveals the triumphs and tribulations that shaped Silicon Valley itself. This is a tale of genius, rivalry, and the relentless drive to change the world—one microchip at a time.