Judgment Under Uncertainty Book Summary

In "Judgment Under Uncertainty," renowned psychologists Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky delve into the intricate ways humans make decisions amid uncertainty. Through groundbreaking research, they unveil the cognitive biases and heuristics that often lead to flawed judgments. This book not only illuminates the limitations of human reasoning but also explores the implications for economics, policy-making, and personal choices. Prepare to challenge your perceptions and discover the unseen forces shaping your decisions. Can you trust your instincts when the stakes are high?

By Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, Amos Tversky

Published: 1982

""We often make decisions based on intuition and biases, leading us to underestimate uncertainty and overestimate our understanding of the world.""

Judgment Under UncertaintyBook binding

Start Listening to Book Summary

0:000:00

Book Review of Judgment Under Uncertainty

Thirty-five chapters describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments, but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas rather than describing single experimental studies.

Book Overview of Judgment Under Uncertainty

About the Book Authors

D

Daniel Kahneman

Daniel Kahneman is a renowned psychologist and Nobel laureate best known for his groundbreaking work in behavioral economics and cognitive psychology. Born on March 5, 1934, in Tel Aviv, he significantly influenced our understanding of decision-making, judgment, and the biases that affect human thought processes. His bestselling book, "Thinking, Fast and Slow," explores the dual systems of thought and has had a profound impact on a wide range of fields, from economics to public policy. Kahneman's research has earned him numerous accolades and recognition, solidifying his position as a leading figure in the study of human behavior. Through his work, he has inspired both scholars and practitioners to reevaluate how we understand rationality and decision-making in everyday life.

P

Paul Slovic

Paul Slovic is a prominent psychologist and author, known for his extensive work in the fields of decision-making, risk perception, and psychology. He is a professor of psychology at the University of Oregon and has published numerous influential papers and books, including 'The Perception of Risk' and 'Numbers and Nerves: Information, Emotion, and Meaning in a World of Data.' Slovic's writing is characterized by its analytical depth and accessibility, blending empirical research with philosophical insights. His contributions have significantly shaped the understanding of how people interact with risk and uncertainty.

A

Amos Tversky

Amos Tversky (1937-1996) was an influential cognitive psychologist and a pioneer in the field of behavioral economics. Known for his groundbreaking work on decision-making under uncertainty and the psychology of judgment, Tversky's research challenged traditional economic theory through his examination of cognitive biases and heuristics. Some of his most notable works include the development of Prospect Theory, co-authored with Daniel Kahneman, which describes how people make decisions involving risk. Tversky's writing is characterized by its clarity and rigor, aiming to make complex psychological concepts accessible. He received numerous accolades for his contributions to psychology, leaving a lasting legacy in both academic and practical arenas.

Book Details

Key information about the book.

Authors
Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, Amos Tversky
Published
April 1982
Publisher
Cambridge University Press
ISBN
0521284147
Language
English
Pages
574
Genres
Cognitive PsychologyBusiness and EconomicsPsychologyBehavioral Economics

Purchase Options

Amazon logoBuy on Amazon
BookShop logoBuy via BookShop

Support local bookstores: BookShop gives a portion of each sale to independent bookshops!

Similar books you might like →

Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral EconomicsBook binding

Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics Book Summary

In "Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics," Nobel laureate Richard Thaler takes readers on a riveting journey through the evolution of behavioral economics, a field that challenges traditional economic theories. Thaler candidly shares his experiences and groundbreaking experiments that reveal how human behavior often defies rational expectations, leading to surprising choices in everyday life. With a blend of humor and keen insight, he highlights the quirks and biases that influence decision-making, reshaping our understanding of markets and policies. This enlightening narrative not only unveils the complexities of human behavior but also emphasizes the importance of incorporating psychology into economic thinking. Dive into a world where misbehavior leads to profound revelations about the way we live, work, and decide!

Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics
Richard H. Thaler
NudgeBook binding

Nudge Book Summary

In "Nudge," behavioral economists Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein unveil the subtle art of influencing choices and shaping outcomes without restricting freedom. They explore how small, seemingly insignificant changes in the way options are presented can lead to drastically improved decisions in health, finance, and overall happiness. With compelling real-world examples and engaging insights, the authors demonstrate how understanding human psychology can empower individuals and policymakers alike. Dive into a world where choice architecture transforms lives and reshapes society's approach to welfare. Discover the hidden nudges that could change everything about the way we choose!

Nudge
Richard H. Thaler, Cass R. Sunstein
InfluenceBook binding

Influence Book Summary

In "Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion," renowned psychologist Robert Cialdini unveils the hidden forces that drives our decisions. Through captivating anecdotes and groundbreaking research, he introduces six key principles of persuasion that shape everyday interactions. From the power of reciprocity to the allure of authority, Cialdini reveals how marketers, salespeople, and even friends subtly manipulate our choices. As you navigate the complexities of influence, you'll discover how to recognize and harness these tactics for your own benefit. Prepare to question your instincts and master the art of persuasion—are you ready to see behind the curtain?

Influence
Robert B. Cialdini, PhD
The Undoing ProjectBook binding

The Undoing Project Book Summary

In 'The Undoing Project', Michael Lewis explores the groundbreaking collaboration between two Israeli psychologists, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, whose revolutionary theories on decision-making changed our understanding of human rationality. Their research reveals the cognitive biases that influence our choices, often leading us astray in unexpected ways. Through compelling anecdotes and vivid storytelling, Lewis uncovers how their work not only transformed psychology but also impacted economics, medicine, and public policy. As their friendship deepens amid professional triumphs and personal struggles, the book delves into the complexities of the human mind and the power of perspective. Will their insights lead to a newfound awareness of our own thought processes? Discover the fascinating tale behind the science of thinking.

The Undoing Project
Michael Lewis
Tao of Charlie MungerBook binding

Tao of Charlie Munger Book Summary

Dive into the mind of Charlie Munger, a legendary investor and confidant of Warren Buffett, who shares his extraordinary wisdom on decision-making and life strategy. This book decodes Munger's multi-disciplinary approach to thinking and outlines practical lessons drawn from diverse fields like psychology, mathematics, and philosophy. Readers will discover how Munger's principles can lead to better judgments and ultimately, success. With engaging anecdotes and sharp insights, this exploration of Munger's philosophy challenges traditional ways of thinking. Uncover the secrets behind Munger's unmatched clarity and learn how to apply these timeless principles to your own journey.

Tao of Charlie Munger
Charles T. Munger
Mistakes Were Made (but Not by Me)Book binding

Mistakes Were Made (but Not by Me) Book Summary

In 'Mistakes Were Made (but Not by Me)', Carol Tavris and Elliot Aronson explore the psychological mechanisms of self-justification and the often-unconscious ways we avoid admitting our wrongs. With compelling examples from history, psychology, and personal anecdotes, the authors reveal why people, from individuals to large organizations, refuse to accept accountability. This thought-provoking book challenges readers to confront their own biases and the cognitive dissonance that influences decision-making. Will you choose to embrace the discomfort of acknowledging your mistakes? Dive into this enlightening read and discover the profound impact of accountability on personal growth and relationships.

Mistakes Were Made (but Not by Me)
Elliot Aronson, Carol Tavris
Confidence GameBook binding

Confidence Game Book Summary

In 'Confidence Game', Christine S. Richard explores the intricate world of con artists and the psychology behind their manipulative tactics. Through gripping narratives and real-life examples, she unveils how trust can be both a weapon and a tool for deception. The book dives deep into the profiles of scammers and the unsuspecting victims who fall prey to their schemes. As Richard distinguishes between genuine confidence and deceitful charm, readers are left questioning their own perceptions of trust. This thrilling exploration of manipulation will make you rethink the nature of confidence itself.

Confidence Game
Christine S. Richard
Rocket MenBook binding

Rocket Men Book Summary

'Rocket Men' by Robert Kurson takes readers on an exhilarating journey into the world of space exploration, focusing on the daring Apollo 8 mission. This gripping narrative intertwines the lives of the astronauts with the historic mission that was humanity's first to orbit the moon. Kurson captures the tension, bravery, and innovation required to achieve such a monumental feat in the face of immense challenges. As the astronauts confront both the vastness of space and personal trials, readers are left questioning the limits of human ambition. This captivating tale reveals not just the glory of space travel, but the profound camaraderie and courage it takes to reach for the stars.

Rocket Men
Robert Kurson

Showing 8 of 28 similar books

Take your reading experience to the next level

Download our mobile app to enjoy your favorite books on the go. Get access to exclusive features, offline listening, and personalized recommendations.

Download on the App Store

Similar Book Recommendations →

Elon Musk's Book Recommendations

Elon Musk's Book Recommendations

Elon Musk is an influential entrepreneur and innovator known for founding and leading several groundbreaking companies, including Tesla, SpaceX, Neuralink, and The Boring Company. He has played a pivotal role in advancing electric vehicles, space exploration, and renewable energy. Musk's vision extends to colonizing Mars and reducing the risk of human extinction through space travel. In addition to his technological contributions, he has co-authored the book "Spacex: Making Commercial Spaceflight a Reality," providing insights into his ambitious projects and vision for the future. Musk's relentless pursuit of innovation continues to shape the trajectory of multiple industries.

Business and LeadershipTechnology and FutureInspiring Reads
Jan Losert's Book Recommendations

Jan Losert's Book Recommendations

Jan Losert is a visionary author and digital design expert, renowned for his contributions to the intersection of technology and creativity. His most significant work includes co-authoring "Design Systems Handbook," which has become a seminal guide for creating cohesive and efficient design frameworks. Losert's expertise extends to his role as a speaker and educator, where he passionately shares his insights on user experience and interface design. In addition to his literary achievements, he co-founded several successful startups, leveraging his deep understanding of design to drive innovation. His work continues to influence and inspire both emerging and established designers worldwide.

Creativity and InnovationTechnology and Future
Eric Weinstein's Book Recommendations

Eric Weinstein's Book Recommendations

Eric Weinstein is an accomplished American mathematician, economist, and writer, known for his influential work in the fields of geometric unity and economic theory. As the Managing Director of Thiel Capital, he has significantly impacted the financial and technological sectors. Weinstein is also renowned for his thought-provoking discussions on the podcast "The Portal," where he explores complex scientific and social issues. He has written extensively on a variety of topics, contributing to both academic and popular literature. His unique perspectives and interdisciplinary approach have earned him recognition as a leading intellectual voice of his generation.

Business and LeadershipScience and NatureMindfulnessInspiring Reads
David Sinclair's Book Recommendations

David Sinclair's Book Recommendations

David Sinclair is an Australian biologist and professor at Harvard Medical School, known for his pioneering research in the field of aging and longevity. Sinclair's work focuses on understanding the biological mechanisms that drive aging and developing interventions to slow or reverse the process. His bestselling book Lifespan: Why We Age – and Why We Don’t Have To explores the latest advancements in anti-aging science and offers insights into how humans might extend their healthspan. Sinclair's research has led to breakthroughs in areas such as sirtuins, NAD+ metabolism, and cellular reprogramming. He is also the co-founder of several biotech companies, including Sirtris Pharmaceuticals and Life Biosciences, dedicated to translating aging research into practical treatments. Sinclair is a vocal advocate for taking a proactive approach to aging, promoting lifestyle changes and emerging therapies to delay age-related diseases. His work has made him a leading figure in the longevity movement, influencing both scientific and public discourse on the future of health.

Health and NutritionSelf-ImprovementScience and Nature
Brendon Burchard's Book Recommendations

Brendon Burchard's Book Recommendations

Brendon Burchard is a high-performance coach, motivational speaker, and bestselling author, best known for his books High Performance Habits and The Motivation Manifesto. He helps individuals and organizations achieve peak performance through strategies focused on clarity, energy, and productivity. Brendon’s work emphasizes the importance of personal growth and developing habits that lead to sustained success. He has coached Fortune 500 CEOs, Olympians, and other high-achieving individuals. Brendon is also the founder of the High Performance Academy, where he trains people to lead more impactful and successful lives.

Self-ImprovementSuccess Stories and Life LessonsProductivityBusiness and Leadership
Keith Rabois's Book Recommendations

Keith Rabois's Book Recommendations

Keith Rabois is a prominent American entrepreneur, investor, and author known for his significant contributions to the tech industry and startup ecosystem. He played crucial roles in the early success of companies like PayPal, LinkedIn, Square, and Yelp, earning a reputation as a skilled operator and strategic thinker. As a partner at Founders Fund and later at Khosla Ventures, Rabois has invested in and advised numerous successful startups. In addition to his business ventures, he has written insightful articles and essays on technology, entrepreneurship, and innovation, contributing to the broader discourse on these subjects. Rabois continues to influence the tech world with his strategic insights and thought leadership.

Business and LeadershipTechnology and FutureSuccess Stories and Life Lessons
Andrew Lokenauth's Book Recommendations

Andrew Lokenauth's Book Recommendations

Andrew Lokenauth is a distinguished author and financial expert known for his insightful contributions to personal finance and investment literature. With a career spanning over a decade, he has written extensively on topics such as wealth management, financial planning, and market analysis. Lokenauth's works are celebrated for their clarity and practical advice, making complex financial concepts accessible to a broad audience. He has been featured in numerous financial publications and has established himself as a trusted voice in the industry. Beyond his writing, Lokenauth is also a sought-after speaker, sharing his expertise at various seminars and workshops.

Money MattersSuccess Stories and Life Lessons
Howard Marks's Book Recommendations

Howard Marks's Book Recommendations

Howard Marks was a renowned Welsh author and drug smuggler, best known for his bestselling autobiography, "Mr Nice," published in 1996. The book chronicles his complex life, from Oxford University graduate to one of the world's most infamous cannabis traffickers. Marks' candid storytelling and unique perspective earned him a cult following and critical acclaim, transforming him into a counterculture icon. He further contributed to literature with several other works, including "Señor Nice" and "Sympathy for the Devil." Marks' legacy continues to influence discussions on drug policy and the criminal justice system.

Memoirs and BiographiesActivistPolitics

Showing 8 of 20 related collections

"We often make decisions based on intuition and biases, leading us to underestimate uncertainty and overestimate our understanding of the world."

Judgment Under Uncertainty

By Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, Amos Tversky

Frequently Asked Questions