In 'The Book of Why', Judea Pearl and Dana Mackenzie unveil the profound concepts of causality and its pivotal role in understanding the world around us. They challenge traditional statistical methods, introducing the causal revolution that will change how we interpret data. Through captivating anecdotes and accessible explanations, the authors reveal the tools necessary to discern cause from correlation. Readers will be drawn into the mystery of why things happen, unfolding layers of knowledge that provoke deeper inquiry. This book is not just about statistics; it's a pathway to mastering the art of reasoning itself.
By Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie
Published: 2018
"The power of causal thinking is the key to unlocking the mysteries of the universe, allowing us to transform mere correlation into profound understanding."
A Turing Award-winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence "Correlation is not causation." This mantra, chanted by scientists for more than a century, has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. Today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and established causality--the study of cause and effect--on a firm scientific basis. His work explains how we can know easy things, like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard questions, like whether a drug cured an illness. Pearl's work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another: it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence. Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why.
Judea Pearl is a renowned computer scientist and philosopher best known for his pioneering work in artificial intelligence and statistics. He is the author of several influential books, including "Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference," which has become a foundational text in the field of causal inference. Pearl's writing is characterized by its clarity, rigor, and the ability to bridge complex theoretical concepts with practical applications. His contributions have not only advanced the field of AI but have also significantly influenced fields such as social sciences and epidemiology.
Dana Mackenzie is a distinguished author and mathematician known for his engaging exploration of mathematical concepts in literature. He is the author of notable works such as 'The Universe in Zero Words' and 'The Big Splat, or How Our Moon Came to Be', which blends narrative with scientific inquiry. Mackenzie’s writing is characterized by its clarity, creativity, and ability to make complex ideas accessible to a broad audience. He holds a Ph.D. in mathematics, and his background informs his ability to communicate intricate subjects with enthusiasm and insight.
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In "The Psychology of Money," Morgan Housel unravels the complex relationship between our emotions and financial decisions. Through captivating anecdotes and profound insights, he reveals that wealth isn't just about numbers, but about behavior and mindset. The book challenges conventional wisdom, urging readers to understand the subtle psychological forces that influence our spending and saving habits. Housel's reflections highlight the power of patience, humility, and a long-term perspective in building true financial success. Prepare to rethink everything you thought you knew about money and its role in your life!
"In the dark, bewildering, trap-infested jungle of misinformation and opaque riddles that is the world of investment, JL Collins is the fatherly wizard on the side of the path, offering a simple map, warm words of encouragement and the tools to forge your way through with confidence. You'll never find a wiser advisor with a bigger heart." -- Malachi Rempen: Filmmaker, cartoonist, author and self-described ruffian This book grew out of a series of letters to my daughter concerning various things-mostly about money and investing-she was not yet quite ready to hear. Since money is the single most powerful tool we have for navigating this complex world we've created, understanding it is critical. "But Dad," she once said, "I know money is important. I just don't want to spend my life thinking about it." This was eye-opening. I love this stuff. But most people have better things to do with their precious time. Bridges to build, diseases to cure, treaties to negotiate, mountains to climb, technologies to create, children to teach, businesses to run. Unfortunately, benign neglect of things financial leaves you open to the charlatans of the financial world. The people who make investing endlessly complex, because if it can be made complex it becomes more profitable for them, more expensive for us, and we are forced into their waiting arms. Here's an important truth: Complex investments exist only to profit those who create and sell them. Not only are they more costly to the investor, they are less effective. The simple approach I created for her and present now to you, is not only easy to understand and implement, it is more powerful than any other. Together we'll explore: Debt: Why you must avoid it and what to do if you have it. The importance of having F-you Money. How to think about money, and the unique way understanding this is key to building your wealth. Where traditional investing advice goes wrong and what actually works. What the stock market really is and how it really works. Why the stock market always goes up and why most people still lose money investing in it. How to invest in a raging bull, or bear, market. Specific investments to implement these strategies. The Wealth Building and Wealth Preservation phases of your investing life and why they are not always tied to your age. How your asset allocation is tied to those phases and how to choose it. How to simplify the sometimes confusing world of 401(k), 403(b), TSP, IRA and Roth accounts. TRFs (Target Retirement Funds), HSAs (Health Savings Accounts) and RMDs (Required Minimum Distributions). What investment firm to use and why the one I recommend is so far superior to the competition. Why you should be very cautious when engaging an investment advisor and whether you need to at all. Why and how you can be conned, and how to avoid becoming prey. Why I don't recommend dollar cost averaging. What financial independence looks like and how to have your money support you. What the 4% rule is and how to use it to safely spend your wealth. The truth behind Social Security. A Case Study on how this all can be implemented in real life. Enjoy the read, and the journey!
In 'The Undoing Project', Michael Lewis explores the groundbreaking collaboration between two Israeli psychologists, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, whose revolutionary theories on decision-making changed our understanding of human rationality. Their research reveals the cognitive biases that influence our choices, often leading us astray in unexpected ways. Through compelling anecdotes and vivid storytelling, Lewis uncovers how their work not only transformed psychology but also impacted economics, medicine, and public policy. As their friendship deepens amid professional triumphs and personal struggles, the book delves into the complexities of the human mind and the power of perspective. Will their insights lead to a newfound awareness of our own thought processes? Discover the fascinating tale behind the science of thinking.
In 'The Art of Loving', Erich Fromm explores love as an art that requires practice and devotion, not just a feeling. He dissects the misconceptions of modern love, revealing how consumerism and selfishness hinder genuine connections. Fromm categorizes different types of love, including romantic, familial, and self-love, emphasizing their importance in achieving personal fulfillment and societal harmony. His insightful analysis challenges readers to reflect on their approach to love and relationships. This thought-provoking work invites you to rethink what it truly means to love and be loved.
In 'Talking to Strangers', Malcolm Gladwell delves into the complexities of human interactions and the misunderstandings that often arise when we connect with those we don't know. Through compelling stories and case studies, he reveals how our assumptions about strangers can lead to misjudgments, including in critical situations. Gladwell uncovers the psychology behind trust, deception, and the often flawed perceptions we have of others. This thought-provoking exploration challenges readers to reconsider how they engage with unfamiliar people in their lives. Are we really as adept at reading strangers as we believe, or are we only fooling ourselves?
In 'Wanting' by Luke Burgis, the author explores the profound influence of desire on human behavior. Drawing from philosophical insights and real-world examples, Burgis reveals how our cravings shape our choices and relationships. He uncovers the hidden drivers behind our ambitions, suggesting that what we want often reflects the desires of others. This thought-provoking narrative challenges readers to examine the nature of their own wants and the societal pressures that mold them. Discover how understanding desire can lead to a more authentic and fulfilling life.
In 'Mistakes Were Made (but Not by Me)', Carol Tavris and Elliot Aronson explore the psychological mechanisms of self-justification and the often-unconscious ways we avoid admitting our wrongs. With compelling examples from history, psychology, and personal anecdotes, the authors reveal why people, from individuals to large organizations, refuse to accept accountability. This thought-provoking book challenges readers to confront their own biases and the cognitive dissonance that influences decision-making. Will you choose to embrace the discomfort of acknowledging your mistakes? Dive into this enlightening read and discover the profound impact of accountability on personal growth and relationships.
In 'Confidence Game', Christine S. Richard explores the intricate world of con artists and the psychology behind their manipulative tactics. Through gripping narratives and real-life examples, she unveils how trust can be both a weapon and a tool for deception. The book dives deep into the profiles of scammers and the unsuspecting victims who fall prey to their schemes. As Richard distinguishes between genuine confidence and deceitful charm, readers are left questioning their own perceptions of trust. This thrilling exploration of manipulation will make you rethink the nature of confidence itself.
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“The power of causal thinking is the key to unlocking the mysteries of the universe, allowing us to transform mere correlation into profound understanding.”
The Book of Why
By Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie
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